A nonprofit publication of the Kentucky Center for Public Service Journalism

Central Kentucky home sales decline in February due to frigid temperatures, lack of inventory

A cold stretch in the middle of February shook up the real estate market as a winter ice storm shut down much of Central Kentucky.

For a two-week period, showings were less than the averages in both 2019 and 2020, and February ended with a 16 percent dip in foot traffic. By the end of the month, however, showings were back above the numbers seen over the previous two years.

Although traffic to properties declined, home sales managed to end with a 2 percent increase in February, jumping from 881 transactions last year to 901 in 2021, a new record for the month. Single-family homes increased 3 percent while townhouses/condos saw a decline of 10 percent for the month.

New construction sales bounced back after a slow start in January, ending the month up 8 percent over last February with 92 homes sold. This matched the monthly total in 2019 and was the highest sales total for the month since 2008 when 125 new homes were closed.

“The weather in February kept many people not only from getting out and touring properties but also putting homes on the market,” said Kristy Gooch, president of the Lexington-Bluegrass Association of Realtors (LBAR). “New listings for the month also saw a drastic fall and with demand
as high as it is, the market needs inventory to pick up going into the
warmer months.”

New listings fell 25 percent for the month, dropping from 1,277 last year in. February to 954 this year. This was only the second time the February number slipped below 1,000, with 2014 being the other year at 983 new listings.

With the lack of available properties for sale, the months of inventory also dropped to a new monthly low, reaching 1.4 months in February, a decrease of58 percent from last year when that number was 3.3 months. For the entire26-county jurisdiction, months of inventory for homes in categories between $120,000 and $250,000 were all under one month, with homes priced between $160,000 and $200,000 standing at just two weeks of available properties.

Days on market in February hit the fifth-lowest on record by falling 42percent over last year. With homes selling at 35 days, versus 60 in 2020, the total in February is a monthly low and follows the previous four months as being the only months with a faster pace of selling. Seven out of 10 home sales occurred in less than a month with only 5 percent taking longer than 120 days. Last February, only 52 percent sold in less than a month, while 16 percent took longer than 4 months.

“As the weather begins to warm and the spring selling season really kicks into gear, more and more buyers are going to be out shopping for properties,” stated Gooch. “Now would be a great time for those who need to sell, or are thinking about selling, to reach out to a professional to see what their home is worth. In many cases, the market has seen home equity rise so don’t leave money on the table. Sellers need to understand the market valuation if they choose to list.”

Total inventory in February dropped to a new record low, with 1,286 residential properties for sale, compared to last year’s 2,902, a decline of 56 percent over the course of a year. February was the 15th consecutive month of record-low inventories with the month being the seventh straight month of levels being under the 2,000 mark.

Pending sales declined for two months in a row, ending February with 987 transactions under contract, a 22 percent dip from last year when 1,266 homes were pending. The last time February pending sales were under 1,000 was in 2015.

Gooch continued, “It’s difficult to maintain the level of sales that we have experienced over the past several years when the number of homes available on the market is significantly below where it needs to be to satisfy buyer demand. It’s strictly a numbers game – closings can’t occur and properties that aren’t listed can’t be sold, therefore, pendings see a reduction. At the same time, this dynamic does affect housing prices as the region has seen double-digit increases since the summer of 2020.”

Central Kentucky housing prices have continued to spike, exceeding the$200,000 threshold for the first time in February and was the eighth consecutive month of double-digit increases. The $204,000 median price was 17 percent higher than last year when the median was $175,000, a record for the month. February’s median price was the fifth-highest ever on record, behind only the July through October stretch last year. Single-family homes increased 16 percent to $206,250 while townhouse/condo prices jumped 4
percent to $161,000.

Total dollar volume of home transactions jumped 19 percent in February to over $213 million for the month, compared to just over $179 million last year.

From Lexington-Bluegrass Association of Realtors

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